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In Israel, the votes are in. Yet, the war goes on

Indian Express - Opinion · Published 9 November 2026 · Last updated

US electoral backlash is turning long‑standing aid to Israel into a political liability, while Israel’s fragmented coalition and Iran’s leverage keep the war deadlocked.

Key points

  • On November 2, US aircraft struck Iran’s Qeshm Island despite pre‑election assurances, marking the latest escalation.
  • Vice President J D Vance blamed the Republican midterm loss on “the war,” a view echoed by Donald Trump as “largely true.”
  • Democrats captured both the House and Senate; ABC News poll shows 34 % of House voters said the Iran war was decisive.
  • President Trump announced on election day that the $4 billion annual US military aid to Israel would end this year, though the 2028 memorandum remains in force.
  • Israel’s 27 October election gave Netanyahu’s bloc 53 seats, the opposition 48, and Arab‑led parties a record 19 seats.
  • Gadi Eisenkot secured a mandate from 67 Knesset members versus 46 for Netanyahu, but seven United Torah Judaism members withheld support over conscription.
  • Eisenkot proposes a “national emergency government” that may rely on Arab votes excluded from the cabinet, while Netanyahu remains caretaker.
  • Iran’s Mohsen Rezaei, speaking from Russia, said the Strait of Hormuz and talks will stay closed until Washington meets Tehran’s seven conditions.
  • India has lost 23 nationals (15 seafarers) in the conflict; Tehran has exempted Indian vessels from its transit restrictions.
  • US Central Command reported disabling a vessel attempting to breach its blockade in the Gulf of Oman after the midterms.

Background

  • US‑Iran tensions escalated after the 2023 US strike on Iranian facilities, leading to a series of retaliatory attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Since 2016, US law has mandated $3.8 billion annual aid to Israel, codified in the 2016 Arms Export Control Act amendment, with the current memorandum extending to 2028.
  • The 2022 Abraham Accords reshaped regional alliances but left the Iran‑Israel conflict unresolved, prompting periodic US strikes to deter Iranian aggression.
  • Israel’s 2021 coalition reforms introduced a proportional representation threshold, enabling smaller Arab parties to gain seats, influencing government formation.
  • The US midterm elections of 2026 were the first since the 2024 presidential race where foreign policy, especially the Iran war, became a top voter issue.

UPSC relevance, Prelims facts and Mains angle for this issue are in the full SWAदेSH note.

Original report: Indian Express - Opinion

Sources